Argentina
Argentina won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Venezuela
Postmatch editorial
Argentina turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Argentina 3-0 Venezuela. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Lionel Messi scored 80' for Argentina.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Argentina led Shots on target 9-0. Argentina also shaded Total shots 17-5.
Before kickoff, our model made Argentina the likeliest result at 76.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Argentina at 80.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (67.9%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Argentina
76.8%
Market result
Argentina
80.6%
BTTS
No
67.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ArgentinaArgentina
Venezuela
9
0
Total shots
ArgentinaArgentina
Venezuela
17
5
Corners
ArgentinaArgentina
Venezuela
4
0
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.