Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Sandro Lima scored 90+8' for Ararat-Armenia.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Universitatea Craiova led Shots on target 2-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Universitatea Craiova also shaded Total shots 5-22.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 51.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Universitatea Craiova
51.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Universitatea CraiovaArarat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
2
7
Total shots
Universitatea CraiovaArarat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
5
22
Corners
Universitatea CraiovaArarat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
3
7