Postmatch editorial
Ararat-Armenia flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Ararat-Armenia 2-1 Celje. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Celje struck first through Svit Seslar 22', but Ararat-Armenia recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Celje led Shots on target 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Celje also shaded Total shots 8-15.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Celje the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Celje
41.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
CeljeArarat-Armenia
Celje
2
5
Total shots
CeljeArarat-Armenia
Celje
8
15
Possession
CeljeArarat-Armenia
Celje
38%
62%