Postmatch editorial

Arandina flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Arandina 2-1 Cádiz. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hajimari Ceesay put the first mark on the match 5', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cádiz led Corners 2-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Arandina also shaded Total shots 14-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Cádiz the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Cádiz

62.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Cádiz

Arandina

Cádiz

2

6

Total shots

Arandina

Arandina

Cádiz

14

11

Possession

Cádiz

Arandina

Cádiz

45%

55%