Postmatch editorial

APOEL flipped the prices on their head

The final score was APOEL 2-1 Fiorentina. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Anastasios Donis put the first mark on the match 37', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Fiorentina led Shots on target 2-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Fiorentina also shaded Possession 37%-63%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Fiorentina the favourite at 59.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Fiorentina

59.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Fiorentina

APOEL

Fiorentina

2

6

Possession

Fiorentina

APOEL

Fiorentina

37%

63%

Total shots

Fiorentina

APOEL

Fiorentina

9

14