Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Antoniano 1-0 Castellón. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Juan Serrano scored 82' for Antoniano.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Castellón led Possession 37%-63%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Antoniano also shaded Total shots 12-9.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Castellón the favourite at 60.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Castellón
60.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
CastellónAntoniano
Castellón
37%
63%
Total shots
AntonianoAntoniano
Castellón
12
9
Shots on target
AntonianoAntoniano
Castellón
5
4