Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Leandro AntonettiĀ  put the first mark on the match 51', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Alverca led Corners 2-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Estrela Amadora also shaded Shots on target 4-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Alverca the favourite at 46.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Alverca

46.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Alverca

Alverca

Estrela Amadora

2

0

Shots on target

Estrela Amadora

Alverca

Estrela Amadora

4

7

Total shots

Alverca

Alverca

Estrela Amadora

14

10