Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Alverca 1-1 Estoril. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Figueiredo put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Estoril led Shots on target 1-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Estoril also shaded Total shots 8-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Estoril the favourite at 39.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Estoril

39.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Estoril

Alverca

Estoril

1

3

Total shots

Estoril

Alverca

Estoril

8

11

Possession

Estoril

Alverca

Estoril

42%

58%