Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Almería 1-2 Málaga. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Chupe put the first mark on the match 65', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Almería led Shots on target 6-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Almería also shaded Total shots 13-12.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Almería the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Almería
47.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AlmeríaAlmería
Málaga
6
5
Total shots
AlmeríaAlmería
Málaga
13
12
Possession
MálagaAlmería
Málaga
49%
51%