Postmatch editorial

Almería upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Almería 1-0 Barcelona II. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hicham Khaloua put the first mark on the match 66', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Barcelona II led Shots on target 2-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Barcelona II also shaded Total shots 8-17.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Barcelona II the favourite at 37.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Barcelona II

37.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Barcelona II

Almería

Barcelona II

2

8

Total shots

Barcelona II

Almería

Barcelona II

8

17

Corners

Barcelona II

Almería

Barcelona II

3

7