Postmatch editorial

Deportivo Garcilaso upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Alianza Lima 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Beto da Silva put the first mark on the match 29', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Alianza Lima led Total shots 30-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Alianza Lima also shaded Corners 10-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Alianza Lima the favourite at 78.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Alianza Lima

78.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Deportivo Garcilaso

30

8

Corners

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Deportivo Garcilaso

10

2

Possession

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Deportivo Garcilaso

72%

28%