Postmatch editorial

Alianza Atlético upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Alianza Atlético 3-1 Sporting Cristal. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Germán Díaz scored 90+5' for Alianza Atlético.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Alianza Atlético led Shots on target 6-3. Alianza Atlético also shaded Total shots 17-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sporting Cristal the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sporting Cristal

46.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Alianza Atlético

Alianza Atlético

Sporting Cristal

6

3

Total shots

Alianza Atlético

Alianza Atlético

Sporting Cristal

17

9

Possession

Sporting Cristal

Alianza Atlético

Sporting Cristal

43%

57%