Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Alcoyano 2-1 Real Madrid after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Real Madrid struck first through Éder Militão  45', but Alcoyano recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Real Madrid led Shots on target 3-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Real Madrid also shaded Total shots 5-26.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Real Madrid the favourite at 85.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Real Madrid

85.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Real Madrid

Alcoyano

Real Madrid

3

11

Total shots

Real Madrid

Alcoyano

Real Madrid

5

26

Possession

Real Madrid

Alcoyano

Real Madrid

33%

67%