Postmatch editorial
Sarajevo flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Francis Kyeremeh scored 90' for Sarajevo.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Aktobe led Shots on target 7-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Aktobe also shaded Possession 63%-37%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Aktobe the favourite at 60.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Aktobe
60.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AktobeAktobe
Sarajevo
7
2
Possession
AktobeAktobe
Sarajevo
63%
37%
Corners
Aktobe
Sarajevo
4
4