Postmatch editorial

Benfica made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was AGF 1-3 Benfica. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Gianluca Prestianni put the first mark on the match 19', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Benfica led Shots on target 3-8. Benfica also shaded Total shots 8-15.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Benfica the favourite at 71.4% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Benfica

71.4%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Benfica

AGF

Benfica

3

8

Total shots

Benfica

AGF

Benfica

8

15

Possession

Benfica

AGF

Benfica

42%

58%