Postmatch editorial

AFC Wimbledon upset the pre-match prices

The final score was AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Wigan Athletic. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Myles Hippolyte scored 88' for AFC Wimbledon.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Wigan Athletic led Shots on target 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Wigan Athletic also shaded Possession 43%-57%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Wigan Athletic the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Wigan Athletic

41.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

Wigan Athletic

2

5

Possession

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

Wigan Athletic

43%

57%

Total shots

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

Wigan Athletic

13

16