Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Gateshead. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Kain Adom put the first mark on the match 21', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AFC Wimbledon led Total shots 10-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. AFC Wimbledon also shaded Corners 6-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AFC Wimbledon the favourite at 73.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AFC Wimbledon

73.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Gateshead

10

5

Corners

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Gateshead

6

3

Shots on target

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Gateshead

4

3