Postmatch editorial

Dagenham & Redbridge upset the pre-match prices

The final score was AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Josh Rees scored 79' for Dagenham & Redbridge.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AFC Wimbledon led Shots on target 4-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. AFC Wimbledon also shaded Total shots 15-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AFC Wimbledon the favourite at 63.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AFC Wimbledon

63.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Dagenham & Redbridge

4

2

Total shots

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Dagenham & Redbridge

15

7

Possession

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Dagenham & Redbridge

66%

34%