AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Crystal Palace
Postmatch editorial
AFC Bournemouth made the numbers look right
The final score was AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Rayan scored 77' for AFC Bournemouth.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: AFC Bournemouth led Shots on target 5-1. AFC Bournemouth also shaded Corners 7-1.
Before kickoff, our model made AFC Bournemouth the likeliest result at 37.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced AFC Bournemouth at 63.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.9%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
AFC Bournemouth
37.7%
Market result
AFC Bournemouth
63.7%
BTTS
Yes
53.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
5
1
Corners
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
7
1
Total shots
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
16
7
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.