Postmatch editorial

Beitar Jerusalem flipped the prices on their head

The final score was AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Brayan Carabalí scored 77' for Beitar Jerusalem.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Beitar Jerusalem led Total shots 6-16. Beitar Jerusalem also shaded Shots on target 2-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AEK Larnaca the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AEK Larnaca

48.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem

6

16

Shots on target

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem

2

3

Possession

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem

36%

64%