Postmatch editorial
Cagliari upset the pre-match prices
The final score was AC Milan 1-2 Cagliari. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
AC Milan struck first through Alexis Saelemaekers 2', but Cagliari recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Cagliari led Shots on target 3-10. Cagliari also shaded Total shots 16-25.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AC Milan the favourite at 73.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
AC Milan
73.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
CagliariAC Milan
Cagliari
3
10
Total shots
CagliariAC Milan
Cagliari
16
25
Possession
CagliariAC Milan
Cagliari
48%
52%