Postmatch editorial

Benfica flipped the prices on their head

The final score was AC Milan 0-2 Benfica. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Dodi Lukébakio put the first mark on the match 16', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AC Milan led Corners 10-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. AC Milan also shaded Total shots 17-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AC Milan the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AC Milan

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

AC Milan

AC Milan

Benfica

10

1

Total shots

AC Milan

AC Milan

Benfica

17

11

Possession

AC Milan

AC Milan

Benfica

61%

39%