Postmatch editorial

Atalanta upset the pre-match prices

The final score was AC Milan 2-3 Atalanta. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Éderson put the first mark on the match 7', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AC Milan led Total shots 20-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. AC Milan also shaded Shots on target 9-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AC Milan the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AC Milan

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

AC Milan

AC Milan

Atalanta

20

9

Shots on target

AC Milan

AC Milan

Atalanta

9

5

Possession

AC Milan

AC Milan

Atalanta

58%

42%