Postmatch editorial

Aberdeen upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hearts struck first through Oisin McEntee 35', but Aberdeen recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hearts led Total shots 11-21, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hearts also shaded Shots on target 3-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hearts the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hearts

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Hearts

Aberdeen

Hearts

11

21

Shots on target

Hearts

Aberdeen

Hearts

3

4

Corners

Hearts

Aberdeen

Hearts

4

6