Just Football Predictions

Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth

Premier League The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

vs
AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

Match Predictions

Home Win
60.2%
62% confidence
Draw
18.7%
65% confidence
Away Win
21%
60% confidence
Both Teams Score
41.6%
70% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win
1.88
53.2% implied
Best: 1.96 @ 1xbet
Draw
3.91
25.6% implied
Best: 4.15 @ 188Bet
Away Win
3.68
27.2% implied
Best: 4.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score
1.46
68.5% implied
Best: 1.52 @ Pinnacle
BTTS No
2.58
38.8% implied
Best: 2.68 @ 188Bet

Key insights

Away Struggles

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth winless in last 8 away matches (4 draws, 4 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 41.6% BTTS vs 68.5% market consensus - lower probability, 26.9% gap

High impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Recent Form

Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion

11 Jan 2026 FT
Manchester United Manchester United 1
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2
07 Jan 2026 FT
Manchester City Manchester City 1
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1
03 Jan 2026 FT
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2
Burnley Burnley 0
30 Dec 2025 FT
West Ham United West Ham United 2
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2
27 Dec 2025 FT
Arsenal Arsenal 2
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1

AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth

10 Jan 2026
Newcastle United Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
07 Jan 2026 FT
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 3
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 2
03 Jan 2026 FT
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2
Arsenal Arsenal 3
30 Dec 2025 FT
Chelsea Chelsea 2
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2
27 Dec 2025 FT
Brentford Brentford 4
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 1

League Position

Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth

POS TEAM P W D L GD PTS
11
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
21 7 8 6 +3 29
15
AFC Bournemouth BOU
21 6 8 7 -6 26

Premier League Identity

Statistical markers from past 5 seasons

Home Win
42%
Home advantage
Draw
26.8%
Stalemates
Away Win
31.2%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
48.1%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.6
Attacking patterns
BTTS
50.8%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
8.1%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
14.6%
15-30'
14.7%
30-45'
18.1%
45-60'
16.3%
60-75'
15.5%
75-90'
20.9%
Cards
1.9
+0.1 red
Predictability
49.9%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
8.1%
Failed to score
Corners
0
Per match